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Special Report on

Cognitive Decision Theory

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Forecasters often use words such as "likely" and "doubtful". Do we all understand these words in the same way? Do you think it will rain when the weatherman says that rain is likely? Learn more . . . home / Research / Research Labs Auditory Neuroethology Lab Cynthia Moss, Ph.D. University of Maryland 4120 Biology-Psychology Building College Park, Maryland 20742 (301)405-0374 Website Research in the Auditory Neuroethology Lab includes studies of auditory information processing, spatial perception, memory and sensorimotor integration. Using the echolocating bat as a model system, our work combines acoustical, ...
Nonprobabilistic Cognitive Decision Theory
Here are some thoughts I had about Hilary Greaves’ talk. The project is to flesh out an idea of epistemic rationality by analogy to practical rationality and practical decision theory. The idea is that in the “Cognitive Decision Theory” the sort of acts you are interested in are various beliefs you could adopt. Or various belief functions you could adopt. There is an idea of cognitive utility which is supposed to be a measure of how epistemically good you think a certain belief state is. Greaves and Wallace 2006 show that it is rational to update by conditionalisation when some conditions are satisfied. The ... market research, surveys and trends
Beyond obliquity
A blog about cognitive and behavioural economics. Building mathematical models of how psychology influences economic systems. John Kay's new book Obliquity: Why our goals are best achieved indirectly  (whose launch at the IPA was hosted last night by Rory Sutherland) follows in the tradition of a number of recent books about decision-making and rationality. Indeed, he mentions Predictably Irrational  and Blink in the first ten pages. It goes beyond them in a couple of interesting ways, but leaves some questions - perhaps deliberately - unanswered. One of my favourite books on business is also by John Kay:  ... market research, surveys and trends


Overcoming Serious Indecisiveness
Decisions are at the heart of leader success, and at times there are critical moments when they can be difficult, perplexing, and nerve-racking. However, the boldest decisions are the safest. This source provides useful and practical guidance for making efficient and effective decisions in both public and private life. Nothing succeeds a success better than another sweet success. To search the site , try E dit | F ind in page [Ctrl + f]. Enter a word or phrase in the dialogue box, e.g. " decision" or " value" If the first appearance of the word/phrase is not what you are looking for, try F ind Next .    MENU Companion ... industry trends, business articles and survey research
1341, 1351 (1995) ("The central relevant body of cognitive decision theory research ...... would earn NextDay revenues of approximately $2 million per year , of ...... fifteen percent of employers and employees contract around the stan- ... industry trends, business articles and survey research
Lilly Stops Alzheimer's Drug Trials
treatment on Tuesday, representing a setback to one leading theory on treating the degenerative disease and a new blow to Lilly’s business prospects. The company said patients who had taken the drug, intended to reduce plaque in the brain, actually showed worse cognitive functioning and less ability to perform daily living tasks than patients who had taken a placebo. “A completely unexpected result,” Dr. Eric R. Siemers, medical director for the Alzheimer’s team at Lilly, said in an interview. The patients also had a higher risk of skin cancer . The trials involving the drug, semagacestat, began ... market trends, news research and surveys resources
Researchers find that wisdom and happiness increase as people grow older
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PDF - Cognitive Decision Theory: Developing Models of Real-World ...
the emerging field we call Cognitive Decision Theory – a branch of decision theory in which models of judgment and decision making are built from principles ... technology research, surveys study and trend statistics
Cognitive Information Processing (CIP) theory was developed ...
In particular, CIP theory describes career decision-making like a recipe, which .... and services: A cognitive information processing approach. ... technology research, surveys study and trend statistics
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What is cognitive dissonance? - Yahoo! Answers
This is the feeling of uncomfortable tension which comes from holding two conflicting thoughts in the mind at the same time. Dissonance increases with: * The importance of the subject to us. * How strongly the dissonant thoughts conflict. * Our inability to rationalize and explain away the conflict. Dissonance is often strong when we believe something about ourselves and then do something against that belief. If I believe I am good but do something bad, then the discomfort I feel as a result is cognitive dissonance. Cognitive dissonance is a very powerful motivator which will often lead us to change one or other of the ...
Post-Traumatic Stress Syndrome: PTSD and Chronic Pain, chronic ...
I am currently undergoing treatment for chronic pain and have recently begun cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT) to learn better coping skills beyond trying to control the pain with painkillers and physical therapy. I am very guarded about a preliminary diagnosis of PTSD I received about 9 months prior to the beginnings my chronic pain from a different therapist. I don't like the thought of bringing up the PTSD in the chronic pain CBT sessions to the new therapist. I see it as a separate issue from my chronic pain, however the more I read about the two conditions the more I find that they are often comorbid. The issues ...