Special Report on
The US yield curve
The US yield curve - Trends
Latest Trending Story:
While FX trading seems to become increasingly bifurcated (broad USD weakness & broad JPY strength or vice versa), the unfolding trend remains a concerted move away from the QE currencies (USD, GBP) and into the commodity/high yielders as well as the EUR. Emerging talk on whether the US dollar has become the new low-yielding vehicle for carry trades financing equities, commodities and currencies vehicle highlights the difference between the USD and JPY carry trades. The latter was driven by structurally low Japanese rates (sub 1.0% since for past 10 years), which were a reflection of Japans anti-deflation ...
presents the case for a double dip (second recession) - I would re-order #1 and #2 on that list - and that for a sustained recovery. #6 of Andy's case for a sustained recovery (he calls it Case Against a Second Dip) caught my attention, pointing me to an earlier Paul Krugman article about positively-sloped yield curves in a zero-bound policy environment. In a related article, Krugman argues that a current policy of near-zero short-term rates precludes the lowering further of future short-term rates. Therefore, the steep yield curve reiterates that rates have nowhere to go ... Read More
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THE US YIELD CURVE
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