Special Report on
Is China Investing too much?
Is China Investing too much? - Trends
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We are great believers in the value of monitoring and taking appropriate time to think about economic, social and marketing trends. They guide the way we should invest and help make for better investment decisions and improved investment performance for the longer term. Thorough analysis often leads to a more predictable, deterministic (or measurable) investment outcome. Let�s take an example of trends in new transport/communication impacting property prices. As a rule, I only invest in property in areas that are �positively changing�. This normally means that a new train station/road is being built close by or regeneration is ...
Data on 12,400 firms in 120 Chinese cities show that state-owned firms have lower marginal returns to capital than private or foreign firms. This inefficiency costs China 5% of its GDP and suggests there would be big gains to further financial and corporate-governance reforms. The breakneck growth rate of the Chinese economy is in large part driven by capital accumulation (and exports). As the diagram shows, the country’s investment to GDP ratio has been high and rising in recent years, exceeding 40% of GDP in 2005. This is much higher than even the high rates observed in East Asia ... Read More
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