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Special Report on

Market Timing Strategies

market timing strategies special research report Photo by markettimingstrategy.com
In this paper, we present a few simple market-timing strategies that appear to outperform the "buy-and-hold" strategy, with real-time data from 1970 to 2000. Our focus is on spreads between the E/P ratio of the S&P 500 index and interest rates. Extremely low spreads, as compared to their historical ranges, appear to predict higher frequencies of subsequent market downturns in monthly data. We construct "horse races" between switching strategies based on extremely low spreads and the market index. Switching strategies call for investing in the stock market index unless spreads are lower than predefined thresholds. We find that ...
by attempting to predict future market price movements. The prediction may be based on an outlook of market or economic conditions resulting from technical or fundamental analysis. This is an investment strategy based on the outlook for an aggregate market, rather than for a particular financial asset.
REVIEWS AND OPINIONS
Market Timing Strategies
Market timing sounds easy. These strategies involve moving between risky assets, such as stocks or bonds, and less risky short term securities like Treasury Bills based on "technical", "fundamental" or "quantitative" analyses. Reduced to its core proposition, market timing means "buying low and selling high." Identifying high or "overvalued" versus low or "undervalued" is the complicated thing. Since riskier assets usually have higher returns over longer periods, staying "out of the market" or invested in less-risky short term securities can mean a ... market research, surveys and trends
Buy and Hold vs. Market Timing Strategies
Stocks for the Long Run, 4th Edition: The Definitive Guide to Financial Market Returns And Long Term Investment Strategies is a strong proponent of the buy and hold approach. Yet in a recent editorial in the Wall Street Journal, Siegel stated that stocks were cheap now and investors should buy. Sounds like he is using a market timing strategy. With the DJIA at lows not seen since 1997, it has been very tough for the buy and hold crowd. Could you have done better by employing a market timing strategy? Buy and Hold Crestmont Research provides an excellent tool to measure the stock market returns over any time period that began in ... market research, surveys and trends

SURVEY RESULTS FOR
MARKET TIMING STRATEGIES

Market Timing Strategy of Buying Stock
At the heart of the market timing strategy for buying stocks is a deeply-held belief that stock prices are predictable. Going even further, those who believe in market timing also assert that trends in the broader markets can be applied to more specific ones, and specific stocks, in order to accurately predict price fluctuations . A large amount of analysis and research is used to predict market fluctuations and the prices of specific stocks. Two primary forms of analysis, fundamental and technical, are favorites of market timing strategists and are used together in many cases to help predict the prices of specific stocks. ... industry trends, business articles and survey research
Savoring a Small Victory After a Market Timing Scandal - New York ...
Frederick J. O’Meally is back at work, engaging in some of the market timing strategies that got him fired in the first place. He says he did nothing wrong. Frederick J. O�Meally, a former Wall Street broker who made millions for himself and Prudential Securities Inc. through market timing, seems happy. Last month, Wachovia wired nearly $3.8 million into his account, a result of an NASD arbitration. The panel�s award, Mr. O�Meally contends, demonstrates that his market timing practices � which came under scrutiny in the mutual fund trading investigation and led to his firing � were appropriate. But the large award, in ... industry trends, business articles and survey research
RELATED NEWS
Investors are Becoming More Knowledgeable!
For instance, the most recent annual study by research firm Dalbar Inc. shows that over the 20-year period ended December 31, 2009, the S&P 500 Index gained an average of 8.2%, but the average equity investor had an average annual return of only 3.2%. Of course, the word ‘average’ is very misleading. Over that 20-year period the S&P 500 was up as much as 50% in individual years, down as much as 40% in others, providing ample opportunity for market-timing strategies to buy low and sell high, and so not only match but outperform the index. Yet, although well aware that the basic rule or goal of investing is to ... market trends, news research and surveys resources
Stock Market Investors Are Becoming More Knowledgeable!
For instance, the most recent annual study by research firm Dalbar Inc. shows that over the 20-year period ended December 31, 2009, the S&P 500 Index gained an average of 8.2%, but the average equity investor had an average annual return of only 3.2%. Of course, the word ‘average’ is very misleading. Over that 20-year period the S&P 500 was up as much as 50% in individual years, down as much as 40% in others, providing ample opportunity for market-timing strategies to buy low and sell high, and so not only match but outperform the index. Yet, although well aware that the basic rule or goal of investing is to buy low ... market trends, news research and surveys resources

INFORMATION RESOURCES

Market-Timing Strategies That Worked?
In this paper, we present a few simple market-timing strategies that appear to ... market timing strategies. They are consistent with the belief that, ... technology research, surveys study and trend statistics
ADMINISTRATIVE PROCEEDING: Millennium Partners, LP, Millennium ...
up to 25 percent of Millennium's assets in market timing strategies. During this time period, mutual funds became more vigilant in policing the trading in ... technology research, surveys study and trend statistics
TIMING THE MARKET - CHAPTER 12 THE IMPOSSIBLE DREAM? TIMING THE ...
Jan 1, 2001 ... consider a range of market timing strategies ranging from .... A market timing strategy will also increase your potential tax liabilities. ...
REAL TIME
MARKET TIMING STRATEGIES
  1. profile image DowTimingAl Bogleheads :: View topic - Market Timing: Any tips or strategies to help avoid this kind of (probably irrational) ... http://bit.ly/bxjqoF
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QUESTIONS AND ANSWERS
Google Answers: Books dealing with mutual fund market timing as a ...
I am researching historical practices of mutual fund market timing for the period prior to September 2003. This is an investment approach that involves rapidly switching funds between an equity mutual fund and a money market mutual fund. Since September of 2003 there has been an industry wide crack down on the practice of mutual fund market timing and a number of mutual funds have paid large settlements to the SEC to settle charges that they allowed market timing that was not in the best interest of mutual fund shareholders. The particular angle that I am researching is the extent to which mutual fund market timing was an ...
Google Answers: Specific request for additional research by ...
This is a specific request for additional research by pafalafa-ga. This researcher is looking into books related to mutual fund market timing. The researcher has come across a good deal of newspaper and magazine articles and other materials -- many of them from the 1990's and earlier -- that discuss this topic as well. I am requesting an answer specifically from pafalafa-ga that would identify magazine and newspaper articles that discussed mutual fund market timing as an investment technique. I am only looking for articles that were published prior to September 2003, and the earlier back in time the better. Thank ...